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What Counts As a GOP Wave in 2014?

Stuart Rothenberg October 28, 2014 · 10:56 AM EDT

Most neutral observers expect Republicans to take the Senate and make at least small gains in the House, but talk about a possible GOP political wave has all but disappeared.

However, ten days to go until Election Day, I wouldn’t rule out the possibility of a “wave” election just yet.

I know…

Will Obama Leave the Democratic Party Better Than He Found It?

Nathan L. Gonzales October 27, 2014 · 9:00 AM EDT

Barack Obama was elected on a swell of energy and enthusiasm, but he might leave the Democratic Party worse off than when he took office.

The disconnect between the Obama political operation and Democratic strategists focused on Congress is nothing new. Congressional Democrats have always been…

Ratings Change: New Hampshire Senate

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Stuart Rothenberg October 24, 2014 · 3:05 PM EDT

Democratic Senator Jeanne Shaheen continues to hold a narrow lead over GOP challenger Scott Brown. But Brown has exceeded our expectations, and he has cut Shaheen’s margin to the low single digits – even though the Republican’s unfavorable rating has been higher than his favorable rating.

Brown…

Ratings Change: Massachusetts Governor

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Nathan L. Gonzales October 24, 2014 · 3:04 PM EDT

Plenty of Democrats woke up Friday morning with a case of deja vu. The latest survey for The Boston Globe showed Democratic Attorney General Martha Coakley losing the race for governor of Massachusetts to Republican Charlie Baker, 45 percent to 36 percent. Once again, it’s Coakley struggling in a…

Seven More House Races Creep Toward Republicans

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Nathan L. Gonzales October 24, 2014 · 12:15 PM EDT

The good news for House Republicans just keeps coming as another half-dozen races shift in the GOP’s direction.

House races often get far less media attention than Senate races or gubernatorial contests, and they therefore often develop later in the cycle. With less than two weeks before the…