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2014 House Overview (July 18, 2014) Iowa - Oklahoma

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July 18, 2014 · 3:58 PM EDT

Iowa (2R, 2D).
IA 1 (Open; Braley, D). Former state House Speaker Pat Murphy (D) faces GOP businessman Rod Blum in the fall election, but Murphy starts off with the clear advantage. Republican prospects seem less than bright.
IA 3 (Open; Latham, R). Democrats (and EMILY’s List) are enthusiastic…

2014 House Overview (July 18, 2014) Oregon - Wyoming

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July 18, 2014 · 3:57 PM EDT

Oregon (1R, 4D).
OR 5 (Schrader, D). Kurt Schrader underperformed in 2012 against an underfunded challenger. That’s the only reason why this seat is mentioned at this point. Clackamas County Commissioner Tootie Smith (R) barely had enough money to buy a couple nice televisions, let alone pay for…

Imperfect People Get Elected to the Senate

Nathan L. Gonzales July 16, 2014 · 9:55 AM EDT

In the heat of the campaign, it can be easy to disqualify or dismiss candidates based on unsettling, or sometimes unseemly, revelations. But all you have to do is look at the current lineup of senators to realize that imperfect people win elections.

Connecticut is a great place to start.

In…

Fight for the Senate Still Very Much Up in the Air

Stuart Rothenberg July 15, 2014 · 5:01 AM EDT

The bottom line looks about the same in the fight for control of the Senate in November — but some of the pieces of the puzzle have moved around dramatically over the past few months.

Republicans need a 6-seat gain to take over the Senate next year. Three Democratic-held Senate seats continue…

Minnesota Senate: Still Very Unlikely, But Not Impossible

Stuart Rothenberg July 14, 2014 · 9:30 AM EDT

We are moving the Minnesota Senate race from Safe Democrat to Democrat Favored, but readers should not make too much of the changed rating.

The change reflects the broad national environment and Minnesota’s generally competitive nature. A national anti-President Barack Obama wave certainly…

Could Upbeat Economic News Help Obama, Democrats?

Stuart Rothenberg July 10, 2014 · 9:43 AM EDT

Last week’s news that the U.S. economy gained 288,000 jobs in June seems to confirm the upbeat economic assessments coming from many of the nation’s economists and Wall Street analysts.

The question is whether the data and increased optimism one might hear on CNBC will have an effect on the…

New Jersey 3: So Close, Yet So Far Away

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Nathan L. Gonzales July 8, 2014 · 4:00 PM EDT

Democrats haven’t had a lot of success getting Members elected to Congress from New Jersey’s 3rd District in recent history. But they got a taste of it for one term and believe they can take the open seat back this year.

From Bill Cahill to Edwin Forsythe to Jim Saxton, the South Jersey area…