Governor News & Analysis

Why Polls Still Show Democrats With Higher Marks Than Republicans

Stuart Rothenberg March 11, 2014 · 4:29 PM EDT

Political brands are important. If a candidate or political party has a damaged political brand, it’s harder for them to sell themselves to voters. But sometimes a poll’s top lines can be deceiving, so you need to look a little below the surface to understand what is going on.

Why Republican Candidates Will Run From .GOP Address

Nathan L. Gonzales March 7, 2014 · 11:54 AM EDT

A Republican group recently boasted about Republicans becoming “the only political party in history to run a Web ending.”

But it would be surprising if many Republican candidates are anxious to put .GOP behind their name.

The Republican State Leadership Committee led the effort to secure the…

Illinois Primaries: GOP Races Set Stage for November

Nathan L. Gonzales February 28, 2014 · 3:58 PM EDT

Illinois could host a handful of competitive congressional contests this November, but a trio of primaries on March 18 will set the stage for the general election. And while Democrats are focused on taking over governorships in some of the country’s largest states, including Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Wisconsin,…

How Jamestown Associates Adapted and Prospered

Stuart Rothenberg February 24, 2014 · 12:29 PM EDT

You probably think the recent spat between the National Republican Senatorial Committee (and really the entire GOP establishment) and Jamestown Associates, a GOP consulting firm, is interesting because it reflects the fissure in the Republican Party. But after covering campaigns for decades, I think it’s also a fascinating story…

For Democrats, It’s All About (Years) After November

Stuart Rothenberg February 5, 2014 · 4:57 PM EDT

Politics is often about keeping one eye on today and another eye on tomorrow. That’s especially true for Democrats, who should not be completely disheartened about their party’s prospects.

November certainly looks like a challenging election for supporters of President Barack Obama — given the president’s anemic job…

Kansas Governor: What’s the Matter with Brownback?

Nathan L. Gonzales January 31, 2014 · 3:58 PM EDT

Is Kansas Gov. Sam Brownback at risk of losing re-election in a state Mitt Romney carried with 60 percent? An automated poll showing the GOP governor behind, a Democratic challenger who raised a million dollars, and a group of moderate Republicans threatening to oppose Brownback have some people calling…

You Can’t Make This Stuff Up — and It’s Only January

Stuart Rothenberg January 29, 2014 · 11:13 AM EDT

Sometimes, it’s difficult to tell the difference between a real news story and something from The Onion.

Earlier reports that entertainer Clay Aiken was considering a run for the Democratic nomination in North Carolina’s 2nd District have been overtaken by new stories about the singer “putting together a…

Is Arkansas Really the Land of Opportunity for Democrats?

Stuart Rothenberg December 18, 2013 · 4:33 PM EDT

When we think of political battlegrounds, states like Ohio and Florida come to mind. But every so often, a small state becomes a partisan political battleground.

This cycle, that’s Arkansas — about as unlikely a state as you might imagine.

While Democrats see Arkansas as a place…

If Linda Lingle Could, Why Can’t Wendy Davis?

Stuart Rothenberg December 3, 2013 · 10:36 AM EDT

As longtime readers of this column know, voters in one-party states sometimes elect the nominee of the “wrong” party as governor. Today’s question is whether state Sen. Wendy Davis, a Democrat, has a fighting chance to win next year’s gubernatorial election in Texas, which remains a rock-solid Republican state.

Why Most Postmortems of Virginia’s Gubernatorial Race Are Wrong

Stuart Rothenberg November 14, 2013 · 10:56 AM EDT

The dust has settled (mostly) from last week’s elections, so I thought it time to present a very different assessment of what happened in Virginia than the snapshot I’ve seen from others.

For example, Democracy Corps and Women’s Voices, Women Vote Action Fund distributed a wholly self-serving…