Governor News & Analysis

The 2014 Elections: How’d We Do?

November 21, 2014 · 3:31 PM EDT

It seems like historic elections are the norm lately. As many Americans continue to feel uncertain about the economy and jaded about politicians, the electoral environment continues to be volatile. In this month’s midterm elections, much of the frustration was taken out on President Barack Obama through candidates and…

The Stunningly Static White Evangelical Vote

Nathan L. Gonzales November 18, 2014 · 11:04 AM EDT

There’s plenty of discussion about the difference between midterm and presidential electorates, but there is one emerging constant: the white evangelical vote.

At least one interest group, Ralph Reed’s Faith & Freedom Coalition, claimed that conservative Christians played a “decisive role” in the recent midterm elections.…

No Guarantee Democrats Rebound in 2016

Nathan L. Gonzales November 14, 2014 · 10:47 AM EDT

After suffering heavy losses in the House and the Senate in the recent midterm elections, some congressional Democrats may breathe a sigh of relief now that President Barack Obama is entering his final two years in office.

But the approaching end of the Obama Administration doesn’t mean Obama…

2014: Plenty of Surprises, but None Totally Unexpected

Stuart Rothenberg November 7, 2014 · 1:08 PM EDT

Yes, that was a wave. A big one. In many respects, it was a wave that was larger and more damaging to Democrats than in 2010.

Republicans now have more House seats, more Senate seats and more governorships than they did after the humongous GOP wave of 2010.…

The Midterms and the Super Bowl, a Tale of Two Routs

Nathan L. Gonzales November 5, 2014 · 1:00 PM EDT

A week before the election, Stu waded into the discussion about what constitutes an electoral wave. One of his main points: “I know it when I see it.” Well, we saw it on Tuesday.

While Republicans gained more House and Senate seats than the most likely…

Election Eve Update: Gubernatorial Race Ratings Changes

Nathan L. Gonzales November 3, 2014 · 5:39 PM EDT

Here are a ratings changes in a handful of competitive gubernatorial contests on the day before the election. 

Arkansas Governor. After months of optimism from Democrats about their ability to re-elect Sen. Mark Pryor (D) and elect former Rep. Mike Ross (D) as governor, it’s clear that both…

Obama’s Midterm Loss Record Could Make History

Stuart Rothenberg November 1, 2014 · 10:52 AM EDT

President Barack Obama is about to do what no president has done in the past 50 years: Have two horrible, terrible, awful midterm elections in a row.

In fact, Obama is likely to have the worst midterm numbers of any two-term president going back to Democrat Harry S.…

Governors on the Defensive as Close Races Go Down to the Wire

Nathan L. Gonzales October 29, 2014 · 3:57 PM EDT

The extraordinary number of very close races is not limited to contests for the House and Senate. The electoral environment is volatile, and a large number of tight and competitive gubernatorial contests leaves open the possibility of a wide range of outcomes.

On one hand, nearly a dozen…

Will Obama Leave the Democratic Party Better Than He Found It?

Nathan L. Gonzales October 27, 2014 · 9:00 AM EDT

Barack Obama was elected on a swell of energy and enthusiasm, but he might leave the Democratic Party worse off than when he took office.

The disconnect between the Obama political operation and Democratic strategists focused on Congress is nothing new. Congressional Democrats have always been a bit…

Ratings Change: Massachusetts Governor

Nathan L. Gonzales October 24, 2014 · 3:04 PM EDT

Plenty of Democrats woke up Friday morning with a case of deja vu. The latest survey for The Boston Globe showed Democratic Attorney General Martha Coakley losing the race for governor of Massachusetts to Republican Charlie Baker, 45 percent to 36 percent. Once again, it’s Coakley struggling in…