House News & Analysis

‘Scam PACs’ Strike Again in Utah, Wisconsin

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 13, 2017 · 12:31 PM EDT

Mysterious and misleading political action committees are nothing new, but two recent examples demonstrate just how brazen some PACs are becoming in their money-grabbing email pitches.

“BREAKING: Sheriff Clarke Resigned,” announced the subject line of a Sept. 2 email from the Sheriff David Clarke for U.S. Senate (Official Draft Campaign).…

PA-15 Rating Change: Dent Retirement Puts Seat in Play

September 8, 2017 · 11:00 AM EDT

Pennsylvania Rep. Charlie Dent capped a tumultuous week for Republicans on the Hill by announcing he would not seek re-election in 2018, leaving his 15th District open and vulnerable to a Democratic takeover.

Dent’s decision is the biggest news to come out of Allentown since earlier this summer when…

The House Retirement Tide Is Coming

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 7, 2017 · 10:24 AM EDT

A large crop of House members are likely to retire in the coming months, not necessarily because President Donald Trump is polarizing, the parties are divided, or Capitol Hill is “dysfunctional” — but because 40 years of history tell us it’s going to happen.

Since 1976, 22 House members, on…

WA-08 Rating Change: Reichert Retirement Shifts Seat Away from Republicans

September 6, 2017 · 1:15 PM EDT

There are still 110 days until Christmas, but GOP Rep. Dave Reichert just gave Democrats an early gift. The seven-term congressman announced Wednesday that he would not seek re-election, opening up his competitive 8th District in Washington and giving Democrats a prime takeover target.  

Democrats have had their eye…

2018 House Overview: Will Past Be Prologue?

by Nathan L. Gonzales September 1, 2017 · 2:30 PM EDT

The President’s party often suffers heavy House losses in midterm elections. But what happens when voters perceive the President to be outside the traditional two-party system?

President Donald Trump is technically a Republican because he ascended through the GOP nominating process. Still, many voters see him as his own brand…

2018 House Overview (Sept. 1, 2017) Alabama - Iowa

September 1, 2017 · 2:29 PM EDT

Alabama. Feb. 9 filing deadline. June 5 primary.

2nd District (Martha Roby, R, re-elected in 2016 with 49%). 2016 Presidential Winner: Trump 65%. The congresswoman was re-elected with less than 50 percent in 2016 when a conservative write-in candidate, Becky Gerritson, received nearly 11 percent after Roby pulled her…

2018 House Overview (Sept. 1, 2017) Kansas - New York

September 1, 2017 · 2:28 PM EDT

Kansas. June 1 filing deadline. August 7 primary.

2nd District (Open; Lynn Jenkins, R, not seeking re-election). Presidential Winner: Trump 56%. The combination of an open seat and a strong Democratic candidate, former state House Minority Leader Paul Davis, makes this an interesting race, even though Trump won handily. Despite…

2018 House Overview (Sept. 1, 2017) North Carolina - Wyoming

September 1, 2017 · 2:27 PM EDT

North Carolina. Feb. 28 filing deadline. May 8 primary.

2nd District (George Holding, R, re-elected 57%).  2016 Presidential Winner: Trump 53%. Holding won a competitive primary over fellow Rep. Renee Ellmers in a redrawn district, followed by an uneventful general election win. Democrats are hoping vodka distillery owner Sam Searcy…

Colorado 2: Democrats Search for Oxygen in Open Seat

by Leah Askarinam August 18, 2017 · 12:29 PM EDT

At this point in the 2018 election cycle, only a handful of Democrats are planning to vacate safe congressional seats, leaving few opportunities for state and local elected officials and political novices to climb the political ladder. In Colorado though, Democratic newcomers may have hit the jackpot, with two Democratic…

Pennsylvania 6: The Bellwether of the 2018 Ball?

by Leah Askarinam August 4, 2017 · 2:30 PM EDT

Both Democrats and Republicans are facing immense pressure to win the 2018 congressional race in Pennsylvania’s 6th District. The suburban Philadelphia district is one of the 23 that voted for both Hillary Clinton and a House Republican in 2016. Plus, it’s a suburban district with a highly-educated population, putting it…