President News & Analysis

Podcast Episode 8: Senate Fundraising, House Open Seats, Bill & Ted’s Excellent Races

October 19, 2023 · 12:30 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin and Erin Covey discuss the big takeaways from the third quarter Senate fundraising numbers, the dearth of House open seats, including Michigan’s 7th District, and how Bill & Ted’s Excellent Adventure is connected to two House races.

Listen to the podcast on Spotify, Apple…

Podcast Episode 7: Speaker Fight and House Majority, California, New Jersey Senate

October 5, 2023 · 1:38 PM EDT

Nathan Gonzales, Erin Covey and Jacob Rubashkin discuss how the search for a new Speaker could affect the fight for the House, how the California Senate is shaping up after the appointment of Laphonza Butler, and what’s going to happen in the New Jersey Senate race after Sen. Bob Menendez…

Setting the Stage for the GOP Debates

by Jacob Rubashkin August 18, 2023 · 1:59 PM EDT

The 2024 GOP presidential primary will enter a new phase on Wednesday, when the leading contenders meet for the first time on the debate stage in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Or at least that’s what the Republican party leadership hopes will happen. 

Former president and current frontrunner Donald Trump may have other…

Tim Scott’s Iowa Play Is Working

by Jacob Rubashkin June 26, 2023 · 10:35 AM EDT

A little over a month into his presidential campaign, South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott has managed to do something no other hopeful has yet accomplished: show some momentum.

Seven months before the Iowa caucuses, the 2024 Republican presidential primary field is largely set, and the dynamics of the race feel…

Initial 2024 Presidential Battleground State Ratings

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 26, 2023 · 12:29 PM EDT

It’s not just the candidates who could look the same next fall.

With President Joe Biden’s re-election announcement this week and former President Donald Trump’s announcement last year, it looks like the old cast from the 2020 presidential race is back for a 2024 sequel. And the battleground of…

How Trump’s Legal Problems Could Affect Down Ballot Republicans

by Nathan L. Gonzales April 3, 2023 · 1:39 PM EDT

Even if legal problems don’t hinder former President Donald Trump’s political comeback attempt, they could hurt other Republican candidates on the ballot in 2024. 

Republicans won’t have to reckon with the electoral ramifications of Trump’s indictment for now. But much of the short-term analysis (or more specifically, the overall Republican…

No One Knows for Sure How Trump’s Legal Problems Will Play Out

by Nathan L. Gonzales March 30, 2023 · 7:17 PM EDT

Political candidates getting arrested is no laughing matter, but one comedian’s perspective could help stave off the temptation to predict the fallout from former President Donald Trump’s legal problems.

Back in 2018, former “Saturday Night Live” writer/comedian John Mulaney tried to describe what it was like to follow the Trump…

12 Dates that Define the 2022 Midterm Elections

by Nathan L. Gonzales November 7, 2022 · 1:25 PM EST

The votes haven't been counted yet and the results aren't yet known, but it’s not too early to take a look back at the key dates that have defined the 2022 midterm cycle. 

Some historic moments, such as the confirmation of the first Black woman to the Supreme Court, aren’t…

Midterm Elections Could Set Another Turnout Record This Year

by Nathan L. Gonzales October 12, 2022 · 12:06 PM EDT

In a rare moment of unity, Republicans and Democrats are poised to come together to set yet another turnout record in the 2022 elections.

Remember that the country set a modern record for turnout in a midterm election in 2018 with 50.1 percent and a modern record for turnout in…

Biden’s Approval Rating Struggles Continue

by Ryan Matsumoto April 14, 2022 · 2:29 PM EDT

In December, Inside Elections took a look at President Joe Biden’s job approval rating and noted how much it had declined since the start of his term. While Biden enjoyed a positive approval rating during his first few months in office, his standing quickly deteriorated throughout…