Senate News & Analysis

Senate Chairmen Try to Avoid Historic Home-State Losses

Nathan L. Gonzales September 29, 2014 · 9:58 AM EDT

With just weeks to go before Election Day, the fight for the Senate is coming down to a handful of states, and two of them are very familiar to the chairmen of the two Senate campaign committees.

Kansas Republican Jerry Moran and Colorado Democrat Michael Bennet are…

Fight for Senate Control Down to Five States

Stuart Rothenberg September 25, 2014 · 12:28 PM EDT

With six weeks to go, the fight for control of the Senate is down to five states, four of them currently held by Democrats.

Republicans must win only two of those contests to guarantee the 51 seats they need to control the Senate for the last two years…

A Bible, a Keg Stand, and a Snowmobile: The Keys to Holding a Democratic Majority in the Senate

Subscriber
Nathan L. Gonzales September 24, 2014 · 5:00 PM EDT

With less than six weeks to go before Election Day, the majority in the United States Senate is still firmly up for grabs. Based on President Barack Obama’s slumping job approval numbers and the friendly batch of states that are up this cycle, the Republican road to 51 seats…

The Election Results Don’t Matter

Subscriber
Nathan L. Gonzales September 24, 2014 · 4:59 PM EDT

What happens in this year’s midterm elections doesn’t matter. What elected officials and party strategists think happened, will carry far more weight into the next Congress and the 2016 elections.

What if Republicans win control of the Senate and expand their majority in the House?

It will…

The Republican Brand’s Recovery Tour — Sort Of

Stuart Rothenberg September 17, 2014 · 11:19 AM EDT

There was a time, a little less than a year ago, when Democrats salivated at the thought of running against the GOP brand and demonizing Republican candidates by attacking them and their party for “shutting down the government.”

But the Republican brand has largely recovered from its low…

A National Election or a Localized One?

Subscriber
Stuart Rothenberg September 12, 2014 · 4:30 PM EDT

Our House and Senate ratings continue to reflect state-level and district-level surveys, as well as the fundamentals of each contest. But as we all know, midterm elections sometimes become referenda on the sitting president. When that happens, if the electorate’s mood is angry and dissatisfied with the president’s performance,…

The Best Ads of 2014 – Oh Really?

Stuart Rothenberg September 11, 2014 · 1:02 PM EDT

A few weeks ago, I noticed a piece in Time headlined “The Best 6 Political Campaign Ads of the Summer (So Far).”

I’ve written columns about “the best” this or “the worst” that, so I’m certainly not opposed to columns that list personal assessments or even personal…

Senate Ratings vs. Senate Expecations

Stuart Rothenberg September 10, 2014 · 10:56 AM EDT

While the current Rothenberg Political Report ratings don’t show it, I am now expecting a substantial Republican Senate wave in November, with a net gain of at least seven seats.

But I wouldn’t be shocked by a larger gain.

Rothenberg Political Report ratings reflect both where a…

Republicans Use Birth Control as Campaign Wedge

Stuart Rothenberg September 9, 2014 · 9:45 AM EDT

Politics is mostly about both parties regurgitating well-established positions (on taxes, the environment, abortion and spending, for example) to appeal to base voters and demonize their opponents. But every so often, candidates from one party try a dramatically new message.

That’s what is happening now in a number…

Pat Roberts is the Most Vulnerable Republican Senator in the Country

Nathan L. Gonzales September 4, 2014 · 1:21 AM EDT

Kansas Sen. Pat Roberts survived a competitive Republican primary but it looks like his toughest race is still to come. Democrat Chad Taylor dropped out of the race on Wednesday leaving independent Greg Orman as the senator’s main challenger and completely changing the math of the race.