Senate News & Analysis

Best and Worst Of the 2012 Campaigns: Part I

Stuart Rothenberg December 12, 2012 · 12:18 PM EDT

As another election year draws to a close, it’s time again for me to pick the cycle’s winners and losers, my most and least favorite candidates, and those who distinguished themselves by skill or by old-fashioned dumb luck.

After three successive partisan wave elections, the overarching takeaway from…

Handicapping 2014: A Pause Could Add Perspective

Stuart Rothenberg December 11, 2012 · 5:58 PM EDT

The tendency to begin analyzing the next election cycle even before the votes have been counted in the last one shows no indication of abating, unfortunately.

While I have chosen to defer a detailed, race-by-race look at the 2014 elections (both in this column and in my newsletter)…

DeMint Surprise Exit Sets Up S.C. Scramble

Jessica Taylor December 6, 2012 · 1:46 PM EDT

South Carolina Republican Sen. Jim DeMint’s shocking news on Thursday that he would step down from the Senate to lead The Heritage Foundation sets off an uncertain scramble in the Palmetto State for virtually all of the state’s top three offices in 2014.

With DeMint, a second-term senator…

For the Fiscal Cliff Talks, It’s Back to the Future Again

Stuart Rothenberg December 5, 2012 · 2:46 PM EDT

Anyone who hoped that Democrats and Republicans could find a quick way to avoid the upcoming fiscal cliff should by now know that we are heading for another of those buzzer-beater endings — if Congress and the White House beat the buzzer at all.

While President Barack Obama…

Dissecting the North Dakota Senate Race

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Nathan L. Gonzales November 30, 2012 · 3:00 PM EDT

Even as prospects for the majority faded away, Senate Republicans thought they could count on North Dakota. But Heidi Heitkamp ran a virtually flawless race, ran well ahead of President Barack Obama and won 50 percent to 49 percent to keep the open seat in Democratic hands.

After…

Supermajority Within Reach for Senate Democrats

Stuart Rothenberg November 30, 2012 · 11:42 AM EDT

Just two years ago, Republicans seemed likely to have a chance at 60 Senate seats following the 2014 elections. But things certainly changed after Democrats won 25 of the 33 seats up this year.

Instead, GOP strategists need to worry about whether Democrats will be in the position…

Hollywood Cachet Doesn’t Always Cash In

Stuart Rothenberg November 28, 2012 · 12:03 PM EDT

Today’s question: What do the following people have in common: actors Alec Baldwin and Robert Redford, former Green Bay Packers quarterback Bart Starr and former New York Rangers goalie Mike Richter?

Answer: Each of them is a bona fide star, and each was mentioned at some point as…

Perfect Storm for Democratic Pickups

Stuart Rothenberg November 16, 2012 · 11:50 AM EDT

While most members of the national media have focused on President Barack Obama’s narrow popular vote/substantial electoral vote victory, the far more stunning results occurred in the Senate.

Though defending 23 seats to the GOP’s 10, Democrats added two more seats last week (counting Maine independent Angus King).…

Mixed Message: Divided Nation Is Still Divided

Stuart Rothenberg November 9, 2012 · 11:14 AM EDT

Tuesday’s results were not unexpected, but that doesn’t mean they shouldn’t send shock waves through the political establishment.

The president was re-elected at the same time Democrats retained the Senate and Republicans continued to hold the House, but the elections seem to raise more questions about the future…

Jumping to Conclusions on the 2012 Elections

Stuart Rothenberg November 6, 2012 · 11:00 AM EDT

If there is one thing that you can probably bet on, it is that the winners and losers in today’s balloting will draw the wrong conclusions from the outcome.

The winner of the presidential election — of 270 votes in the Electoral College — will almost certainly see…