Outlook

Democrats have a 53-47 majority. Republican gains of 2-5 seats likely at this point. Republicans need 4 seats for a majority if President Obama wins re-election.

  • Shift Republican
  • Shift Democratic

Total Seats in Play

Democrat: 23 Republican: 10

Pure Toss-up

Democrat: 3 Republican: 2
MA I R Brown
MO I D McCaskill
MT I D Tester
NV I R Heller
VA I D Open Webb

Toss-up/Tilt Democrat

Democrat: 4 Republican: 0
FL I D Nelson
NM I D Open Bingaman
OH I D Brown
WI I D Open Kohl

Lean Democrat

Democrat: 1 Republican: 0
HI I D Open Akaka

Democrat Favored

Democrat: 1 Republican: 0
MI I D Stabenow

Currently Safe Democrat

Democrat: 12 Republican: 0
CA I D Feinstein
CT I D Open Lieberman
DE I D Carper
MD I D Cardin
MN I D Klobuchar
NJ I D Menendez
NY I D Gillibrand
PA I D Casey
RI I D Whitehouse
VT I D Sanders
WA I D Cantwell
WV I D Manchin

Toss-up/Tilt Republican

Democrat: 0 Republican: 0

Lean Republican

Democrat: 0 Republican: 0

Republican Favored

Democrat: 2 Republican: 2
AZ I R Open Kyl
IN I R Lugar
ND I D Open Conrad
NE I D Open Nelson

Currently Safe Republican

Democrat: 0 Republican: 6
ME I R Snowe
MS I R Wicker
TN I R Corker
TX I R Open Hutchison
UT I R Hatch
WY I R Barrasso