It’s August of an odd-numbered year, but the 2014 cycle is heating up. That means dozens of candidates are visiting us at The Rothenberg Political Report in anticipation of the midterm elections.
Some of them will win, but most will lose. So we’ve started taking notes on some sure-fire ways…
Kay Hagan could run a perfect campaign and still lose re-election.
In 2008, the Democratic state senator was elected to the U.S. Senate because she was at the right place at the right time. She faced an aging politician who had lost touch with the state, and she benefitted from Barack Obama’s…
With only 50 competitive seats on the House playing field, it’s important to look at primaries on both sides of the aisle that will choose the next member of Congress. And with House Republicans divided into two camps, any GOP primary raises important questions.
GOP Rep. Jo Bonner resigned his…
Rodney Alexander doesn’t do anything with a lot of advance notice.
In 2004, the Democratic congressman from Louisiana switched parties just before the filing deadline to ensure that angry Democrats wouldn’t have enough time to field a candidate against him.
This year, the ink was hardly dry…
Illinois Attorney General Lisa Madigan probably would have coasted to the Democratic gubernatorial nomination and to victory in the general election next year if family matters hadn’t complicated her decision.
Madigan’s political aspirations have been consistently blocked by her father, the…
The Senate playing field is starting to solidify, and the fight for the majority looks like it will be decided in about a dozen states. But even though the fields of candidates are still taking shape in some of those contests, both Republicans and Democrats are banking on some macro-factors that…
I shouldn’t be disappointed with MSNBC’s “Daily Rundown,” one of the few reasonable political shows not airing on Sunday morning. But the show did a segment with Indiana University sociologist Fabio Rojas, who recently wrote a Washington Post opinion piece on how Twitter can predict an election.
…The folks over at the Washington Post must have needed copy desperately for Monday’s opinion page if they were willing to publish a piece titled, “How Twitter can help predict an election.”
In the column, Indiana University Sociologist Fabio Rojas asserts: “Twitter discussions are an unusually…
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